Out-migration and economic cycles

Cohort and Period Effects in U.S. Migration: How Demographic and Economic Cycles Influence the Migration Schedule

This paper examines the influence of demographic and economic cycles on the migration propensities given in the migration age schedule. It is well known that while the shape or profile of the migration-age relationship has enduring regularity over time and space, its level (or intensity) shows considerable volatility. Recent studies suggest that variations in generation size and economic condit...

Business cycles, migration and health.

We investigate the proposition that illness poses as an obstacle to one's ability to use migration to hedge the business cycle. We employ data on migration, regional unemployment rates and health status from 10 years (1984-1993) of the US Panel Study of Income Dynamics. Our results provide considerable for support this proposition. The evidence is the strongest for men, but we also find weaker ...

Investigating Economic Trends and Cycles

Methods are described for extracting the trend from an economic data sequence and for isolating the cycles that surround it. The latter often consist of a business cycle of variable duration and a perennial seasonal cycle. There is no evident point in the frequency spectrum where the trend ends and the business cycle begins. Therefore, unless it can be represented by a simple analytic function,...

Common cycles and economic uctuations

In this paper we analyze both theoretically and empirically the identifying restrictions on the impulse response functions, implied by the presence of common trends and common cycles. The notion of a complete set of common cycles is exploited to provide a data{dependent orthogonalization of disturbances, keeping separate the contribution to the permanent and transitory components of economic uc...

Rural development and out-migration from small and large villages in iran